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[虚拟币资讯]
随着鲸鱼抛售 93K ETH:以太坊价格在 Uniswap 上暴跌至 950 美元
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大家好
' U: S) ^3 L. D" h# I, q1 v+ g我是币圈小沫沫~
`) B3 I2 [0 [ETH 在跌至 950 美元后大幅反弹。但 ETH / USD 看跌的延续设置可能会重新审视它。
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# j5 C! L" {+ C: ?今年 6 月 13 日，以太坊的原生代币 Ether ( ETH ) 在 Uniswap（一个去中心化的加密货币交易所）上跌 # K0 e' b7 O ?- k
至 950 美元的低点，大约比其他交易所的即期汇率低 20%。 % m2 Q& Z' K k' [; H
# M! ~2 p: w- C$ c六小时内售出超过 1.3 亿美元的 ETH
6 [( a! i& V. z! w# B0 j该事件发生在世界标准时间 03:00 左右，此前一头鲸鱼抛售了 65,000 ETH 以获得多种“稳定币”，包括 USD Coin ( USDC )、Tether ( USDT ) 和 Dai ( DAI )。 5 a( V$ n9 {- x7 P% l
有证据指出，鲸鱼出售其持有的 ETH 以偿还 DeFi 借贷平台 Oasis.app 价值近 7300 万美元的债务。在抛售期间，ETH 的清算价格从 1,200 美元跌至 875 美元。 / Y: V* y. [6 W+ {/ v
: B* f& O1 r8 [: AOasis 的借款人继续疯狂抛售——在第一次抛售后五个小时又抛售了近 28,000 ETH——以偿还另外 3200 万美元的债务。这一次，强平价格从 892 美元涨到了 1200 美元，如下图所示。 6 O/ D' x/ D; B5 C* V3 R
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果，这只鲸鱼在短短六个小时内就抛售了大约 93,000 ETH。按 6 月 13 日的 ETH/USD 价格计算，该金额约为 1.12 亿美元。 # |6 l- s; G4 L) g, Z: `* c4 a
有趣的是，Oasis 借款人的未偿债务总额约为 1.2 亿美元（以 DAI 稳定币衡量），这表明鲸鱼遭受了严重的“滑点”损失。 0 S5 d; H0 t. q; b
: p0 c) @ A9 J" s* i: Z) e- m
以太币价格达到 667 美元——资深分析师 3 G2 P8 _' L3 A6 ?
以太币涨至 950 美元的行程很短暂，这表明对接近该水平的代币有足够的需求。尽管如此，资深交易员 Peter Brandt 的另一项分析指出，未来几周 ETH 的价格将跌至 650 美元。 d: U0 F! _( [' t# C
Brandt 的看跌前景源于一个经典的延续模式，被称为“下降三角形”，在价格朝其先前趋势的方向突破后解决。
* J3 C& X! R3 f5 Y& c0 k由于以太在三角形形成之前下跌，其阻力最小的路径偏向下行。 0 t) K% z! ^ y
: t% b x. i, m* pBrandt 表示，随着 6 月 13 日价格下跌 20%，ETH 已达到三角形的第一个下行目标 1,268 美元。他预计下跌将继续，ETH 再下跌近 50%，至 667 美元。 % j# c' @8 H/ _- V3 Z" j Y
尽管如此，以太币的超卖相对强度指数（RSI）可能导致价格急剧逆转。以太坊从 1,200 美元附近的 200 周简单移动平均线（200 周 SMA；下图中的橙色波浪）中挑选出额外的反弹线索，现在作为支撑。 9 v, l' L. `; z: D
% U, R4 c, r S, C* c$ k
如果 ETH 价格经历上行回撤，则该代币的中期牛市目标可能接近 1,450 美元，与斐波纳契回撤图的 1.00 斐波那契线相吻合，从 1,450 美元左右的摆动高点到 84 美元的摆动低点。
4 X/ y7 T0 m4 O/ s相反，如果收盘价跌破 200 周均线，则 ETH 可能将 920 美元视为其下一个下行目标。
: i# @( b- a) N此处表达的观点和意见仅代表作者的观点，在做出决定时，您应该进行自己的研究。 5 c8 Q1 O& R% W ~9 ^. b7 [
好了，小沫沫就讲到这里，咱们下期见！ 来源：金色财经 |
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