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本帖为抢楼帖，欢迎抢楼!
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几率这个总是平等的 但是还是这次出了，下次粗的概率就是会小了很多 |
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& j( \; [% x0 h# O$ C7 s( b3 B
有时候靠几率也是会害死人的 |
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1/2概率游戏在理论上讲输赢都应该是50对50，输赢各半的结果，但是玩起来却明显不是那回事。# K; t1 s- |# }- b+ E U; c
d# F- K8 D; t( f1 n这个我来告诉你吧。。50对50，输赢是对半，但是我们真正玩起来，许许多多的人却感觉是输的多。。
# w# m6 z% } G) B& E% D1 G0 R1 ^* m" Z* J% ^3 |
为什么？
/ G! m" m1 e' M' k! \. v" d" H9 \9 H
' p z) h# H a8 ?7 O' T1、因为下注的次数太多了（任何人都逃不过5050）。如果只玩一把肯定是5050。
1 r6 c9 Z" o J- i" a2、因为资金问题。如果资金一样，也可能是5050。
! P) _8 O- t9 l+ N# D' v. X3 N 假如你只有最后一个码了，而你打的是平注。。每一把输赢都是50比50。& U" X5 A( f& r7 s' S& z4 ?1 M- `2 m
第一把赢，你有两个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/4) p w' ~7 R* Q- {
第一把输，你没有了。
/ J2 e+ _, I% a. Q( X$ P 第二把赢，你有三个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/8。
8 z- D$ o" f5 p f0 d 第二把输赢，你还可以继续。。
7 J. i9 C; `" }: ~ Y4 v …………无限下去。
) a. N2 _" _& i& d# p清袋的概念，不是50比50。。而是1/2+1/4+1/8+1/16+1/32……
; \5 j& O& a# i7 c. L1 P U' U' B; i" t
是多少你自己算吧。。这还不算抽水呢。。* w( O8 ]) y- Y5 _6 z: Q: l4 h
4 J+ @6 A0 o. G7 m这就是总是输的原因。。" _' T3 }! v/ u5 f# R7 `6 a
1 J+ ~7 A3 A' b2 ~
为什么我还要继续玩下去呢？？2 B% N. |; p# ^' O
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1、我觉得可以打偏差。
3 ?: T6 d& ~; r; _" P, U2、存送1%，返水1%，加上我只想取入场的1%。我觉得我应该就是DC。。
7 f+ U1 A$ E1 _9 ~8 [% _8 n2 i/ W8 B- E, L3 D
但是，这，，，只是理论，实践考虑的因素更多。。
$ v. l, N" a" T1 O2 ~
+ u8 u8 F& d0 y2 N v人的心态不可控，人的行为不可控，人的习惯不可控。。 |
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大家说的50对50指的是每次下注时的选择，所以我们每次下注都要做一次选择，运气不好的话，就会连续选择错误，也就是连黑了 |
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5050 的说法是不对的，在正常的不作弊的情况下，庄家还有抽水的比例呀。 |
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菠菜的公平之处在于机率各占一半，庄家之所以占优当然是因为抽水了，反复的抽水导致玩家大部分都输钱。 |
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