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[lastpost] => 1820252 #####给赌友们介绍一种百家樂策略##### 1753894081 我是你的谁
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小分3种情况:
7 _- f" d1 K4 _3 R( |" S/ X( [# Q
1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌。
) e1 d: w. a6 R1 W0 \6 a" z) Z0 G5 [. u& l+ V. K' |4 y/ O) K% W
2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点。
! x3 E! i7 J9 y* F0 w6 ]: q, F. c, T8 N0 }1 R3 q L
3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点。3 I) B7 W+ q, s8 Y9 \1 S4 d) J
! `& l3 \$ k7 L7 b+ {" k
2张牌8或9点的情况有:% L" V5 R% }7 T2 S/ P9 M1 v
& F! _. ?) N: S- M6 D8 t& B" }
1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+4,4+5,8+10,9+9,9+10
0 L$ ?$ n& l0 i! ?7 i
% J" A$ c( J4 o* l+ C1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+5的概率计算方法都是:32/416*32/4155 _, o# ]! O) t- o
5 R- W4 i1 @+ y. ~" [, W4+4,9+9的概率计算方法都是:32/416*31/415
. e k& B9 C4 ]1 {. \
2 |" D( X1 \4 B" \* ]0 M8+10,9+10的概率计算方法都是:32/416*128/415 G# d8 ? z4 o1 n
5 }6 D6 j/ b% \5 G" w6 F( _
由此,我们可以计算出,8副牌2张牌出现8或9点的概率为:0.189434662。: F5 u0 U9 E' |- ~* _& k; r
, V% K3 _$ L$ H) J
通过同样的计算方法,6或7点的概率与8或9点的概率一样。
4 W! u' U. ?0 R2 {, y/ P% c5 x
0 c7 _8 G, z) z) X! U7 F: u% g& s那么我们可以得出, g2 X- E; X- Y, x
1 y: n& c' W6 ?4 R' Q$ _2 s, s1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌的概率=0.189434662
) t+ E3 _" m6 }" L+ H6 o3 _ T8 c4 ^. g8 j
2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点的概率=0.189434662*(1-0.189434662)=0.153549171 : P. G7 }7 |) P) q
: _0 i4 u# U1 Z3 f: \& ?6 G! k. K" o3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点=0.189434662*0.189434662=0.035885491+ E6 r4 j& e8 O# V
5 e: u$ N( m( [) S% W) a" k0 n. f
所以最后得出初始状态下,小的概率=0.189434662+0.153549171+0.035885491=0.378869323
. {" e% R2 `) _/ t& r" G
( m& d c+ K+ H9 [百家乐非小即大,所以大的概率=1-0.378869323=0.6211306772 W* ~" j) S4 c
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方法最后一段话觉得是有道理的,但是在我面前就难以实现,毕竟运气太差了。 |
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