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[虚拟币资讯]
随着鲸鱼抛售 93K ETH:以太坊价格在 Uniswap 上暴跌至 950 美元
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大家好
: Y, L4 K n; G% C$ t我是币圈小沫沫~
5 N* y' e, i4 C& dETH 在跌至 950 美元后大幅反弹。但 ETH / USD 看跌的延续设置可能会重新审视它。 9 `0 p, R- a+ C) b4 P/ m
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今年 6 月 13 日，以太坊的原生代币 Ether ( ETH ) 在 Uniswap（一个去中心化的加密货币交易所）上跌 6 u! x: z0 q6 l) Y- A# v) d
至 950 美元的低点，大约比其他交易所的即期汇率低 20%。 ( X( Z1 |9 m# I7 E1 q
$ u: z. ?5 b# ^1 _* Z* z六小时内售出超过 1.3 亿美元的 ETH # n0 N* m9 W# S. f7 f
该事件发生在世界标准时间 03:00 左右，此前一头鲸鱼抛售了 65,000 ETH 以获得多种“稳定币”，包括 USD Coin ( USDC )、Tether ( USDT ) 和 Dai ( DAI )。 ) p& m+ R0 \3 b6 [6 j+ R+ G5 n1 \
有证据指出，鲸鱼出售其持有的 ETH 以偿还 DeFi 借贷平台 Oasis.app 价值近 7300 万美元的债务。在抛售期间，ETH 的清算价格从 1,200 美元跌至 875 美元。 ' n9 J3 v: @* {8 P1 b* t+ e
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Oasis 的借款人继续疯狂抛售——在第一次抛售后五个小时又抛售了近 28,000 ETH——以偿还另外 3200 万美元的债务。这一次，强平价格从 892 美元涨到了 1200 美元，如下图所示。 - Z+ ]% ]/ |3 ~+ J, ]# Y' J4 t
8 E4 o/ h. ^$ C3 q) K3 T% ~果，这只鲸鱼在短短六个小时内就抛售了大约 93,000 ETH。按 6 月 13 日的 ETH/USD 价格计算，该金额约为 1.12 亿美元。 9 s8 q% W4 R+ `( ~
有趣的是，Oasis 借款人的未偿债务总额约为 1.2 亿美元（以 DAI 稳定币衡量），这表明鲸鱼遭受了严重的“滑点”损失。 9 |7 F/ L) p9 r6 x$ E7 P
7 M4 T1 d# {& s& [) B. j! T7 h
以太币价格达到 667 美元——资深分析师 ' e; h& R2 _8 x" e3 M" l
以太币涨至 950 美元的行程很短暂，这表明对接近该水平的代币有足够的需求。尽管如此，资深交易员 Peter Brandt 的另一项分析指出，未来几周 ETH 的价格将跌至 650 美元。 ' E6 G1 ?# X, p7 ]! F0 L6 K0 }
Brandt 的看跌前景源于一个经典的延续模式，被称为“下降三角形”，在价格朝其先前趋势的方向突破后解决。
, I0 C& ?+ `/ B3 _1 S3 K由于以太在三角形形成之前下跌，其阻力最小的路径偏向下行。
) g- G3 J& s; ^- h
f2 o( Y8 `9 m! M$ `9 O* |Brandt 表示，随着 6 月 13 日价格下跌 20%，ETH 已达到三角形的第一个下行目标 1,268 美元。他预计下跌将继续，ETH 再下跌近 50%，至 667 美元。 ( |! C: @! b7 r- E
尽管如此，以太币的超卖相对强度指数（RSI）可能导致价格急剧逆转。以太坊从 1,200 美元附近的 200 周简单移动平均线（200 周 SMA；下图中的橙色波浪）中挑选出额外的反弹线索，现在作为支撑。 * E& ~" F/ ~, ~ o5 I
) }1 F: P. _5 u; @& P1 }如果 ETH 价格经历上行回撤，则该代币的中期牛市目标可能接近 1,450 美元，与斐波纳契回撤图的 1.00 斐波那契线相吻合，从 1,450 美元左右的摆动高点到 84 美元的摆动低点。
9 ^; @4 \ O8 `. r1 x* `相反，如果收盘价跌破 200 周均线，则 ETH 可能将 920 美元视为其下一个下行目标。 * \' @! O2 k& |9 b
此处表达的观点和意见仅代表作者的观点，在做出决定时，您应该进行自己的研究。
6 d8 ]- J$ q1 }/ H8 p& V& P: V好了，小沫沫就讲到这里，咱们下期见！ 来源：金色财经 |
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