×
Array
(
[fid] => 6974
[description] => 专注于币圈最新最快资讯，数字货币应用及知识普及
[password] =>
[icon] => b1/common_6974_icon.png
[redirect] =>
[attachextensions] =>
[creditspolicy] => Array
(
[post] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 5
[extcredits1] => 1
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 1
[fid] => 6974
[rulename] => 发表主题
[action] => post
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6762,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,6905,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6969,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6937,6943,6970,6869,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6876,6952,6954,6960,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6882,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6873,555,6934,6958,6944,6945,6907,6779,6886,6950,6904,6956,6862,6957,6855,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6953,6976,6824,6815,6891,6866,6979,6977,6765,6903,6948,6980,6981,6983,6799,6982,6951,6984,6975,6895,6845,6879,1121,6974
)
[reply] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 0
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 10
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 2
[fid] => 6974
[rulename] => 发表回复
[action] => reply
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6969,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6937,6943,6970,6869,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6876,6952,6954,6960,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6873,555,6934,6958,6944,6945,6907,6779,6886,6950,6904,6956,6862,6957,6855,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6953,6976,6824,6815,6891,6866,6979,6977,6765,6903,6948,6980,6981,6983,6799,6982,6951,6984,6975,6895,6845,6879,1121,6974
)
)
[formulaperm] => a:5:{i:0;s:0:"";i:1;s:0:"";s:7:"message";s:0:"";s:5:"medal";N;s:5:"users";s:0:"";}
[moderators] => 实习版主1
[rules] =>
[threadtypes] => Array
(
[required] => 1
[listable] => 1
[prefix] => 1
[types] => Array
(
[1590] => 论坛公告
[1752] => 公司优惠
[1603] => 虚拟币交流
[1753] => 数字钱包
[1754] => 虚拟币存提
[1755] => 交易所
[1655] => 虚拟币资讯
[1756] => 银行卡
[1757] => 第三方支付
[1760] => 币圈大佬
[1758] => 科技前沿
[1759] => 天策嗨聊
[1661] => 入驻合作
)
[icons] => Array
(
[1590] =>
[1752] =>
[1603] =>
[1753] =>
[1754] =>
[1755] =>
[1655] =>
[1756] =>
[1757] =>
[1760] =>
[1758] =>
[1759] =>
[1661] =>
)
[moderators] => Array
(
[1590] => 1
[1752] =>
[1603] =>
[1753] =>
[1754] =>
[1755] =>
[1655] =>
[1756] =>
[1757] =>
[1760] =>
[1758] =>
[1759] => 1
[1661] =>
)
)
[threadsorts] => Array
(
)
[viewperm] => 9 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 31 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 7 8
[postperm] => 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[replyperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[getattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postimageperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[spviewperm] =>
[seotitle] =>
[keywords] =>
[seodescription] =>
[supe_pushsetting] =>
[modrecommend] => Array
(
[open] => 0
[num] => 10
[imagenum] => 0
[imagewidth] => 300
[imageheight] => 250
[maxlength] => 0
[cachelife] => 0
[dateline] => 0
)
[threadplugin] => Array
(
)
[replybg] =>
[extra] => a:2:{s:9:"namecolor";s:0:"";s:9:"iconwidth";s:2:"60";}
[jointype] => 0
[gviewperm] => 0
[membernum] => 0
[dateline] => 0
[lastupdate] => 0
[activity] => 0
[founderuid] => 0
[foundername] =>
[banner] =>
[groupnum] => 0
[commentitem] =>
[relatedgroup] =>
[picstyle] => 0
[widthauto] => 0
[noantitheft] => 0
[noforumhidewater] => 0
[noforumrecommend] => 0
[livetid] => 0
[price] => 0
[fup] => 6729
[type] => forum
[name] => 虚拟币讨论大厅
[status] => 1
[displayorder] => 3
[styleid] => 0
[threads] => 28175
[posts] => 457294
[todayposts] => 9
[yesterdayposts] => 188
[rank] => 2
[oldrank] => 1
[lastpost] => 2769559 史诗级换手和抛售规模，市场还将迎来进一步回撤？ 1759012240 caoch
[domain] =>
[allowsmilies] => 1
[allowhtml] => 1
[allowbbcode] => 1
[allowimgcode] => 1
[allowmediacode] => 0
[allowanonymous] => 0
[allowpostspecial] => 21
[allowspecialonly] => 0
[allowappend] => 0
[alloweditrules] => 1
[allowfeed] => 0
[allowside] => 0
[recyclebin] => 1
[modnewposts] => 2
[jammer] => 1
[disablewatermark] => 0
[inheritedmod] => 0
[autoclose] => 0
[forumcolumns] => 3
[catforumcolumns] => 0
[threadcaches] => 0
[alloweditpost] => 1
[simple] => 16
[modworks] => 1
[allowglobalstick] => 1
[level] => 0
[commoncredits] => 0
[archive] => 0
[recommend] => 0
[favtimes] => 0
[sharetimes] => 0
[disablethumb] => 0
[disablecollect] => 0
[ismoderator] => 0
[threadtableid] => 0
[allowreply] =>
[allowpost] =>
[allowpostattach] =>
)
[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.13 cpi不降反升 加息压力倍增 恰逢以太清算 短期不宜过于乐观
[复制链接]
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 分钟
本月在线: 分钟
|
|
|
没有断更、wx被环境限制、6.17恢复。 , \+ x1 T- }( d/ @, o! s% [7 f3 ?9 K
行情补充、 3 ]8 G' ]. G- A' v3 I! |' w& l9 R
在6.11号、cpi超出预期、加息压力提升。 . k: w2 l/ O. f r l8 s
市场本就一蹶不振、恐慌抛压会提高。 ; O0 o# [8 F7 x' {& y9 E
关于疑问、一一回复。 . `; ^$ k' F6 ^; I, t# X& K( U2 D
今天为何跌这么多，何时能抄底！ " p, D& Q2 @7 v4 \
) ^0 y( p5 l5 A1 [$ R
首先就个人的主观来说、 7 ?; c3 W, ?5 ?, R* N
对这个市场，余勋有着无比强烈的信仰。
" [, p6 `4 }$ ^5 o7 h极度憧憬市场的未来！ $ e- \" q n5 G6 o1 _2 Y' p
但信仰在环境zc面前下，不值一提、 ; y" q: T% ]6 o- N" {! i
最不济，要明白一个道理。君子不立危墙之下、 * n+ S* p! H$ s {+ J: y3 {# W
而当下，或许就是市场最难度的阶段。
& a" k8 w' O4 y+ S会不会过去、肯定会。但给一点时间。
2 Y2 w; H; F2 {" d转点就在CPI稳定，或出现下降。
0 r* R3 t6 i7 x/ {其次出现降息，和停止抽水。 4 E0 i' m) _. n8 E4 \7 C7 }
（这是最精准的抄底时机，） 8 j h6 K; y, k: _( t7 Y3 r% ^: D0 u
为什么会跌、
& E( Q. [6 t/ x5 e1 c( \1cpi不降反升、加息压力提高。市场面临进一步抽水，或延长周期抽水。 8 F, D( V2 w" ?& D7 i9 k( ^5 ^& E
2本月14-15议息，提前预判会更鹰派，提前消化。 7 {: w, Q' K# v3 K+ S
3以太在1100-1250有近10亿借贷清算、 . J! e( ~$ Y- c. B. f3 b% J
综上造成的下跌、
4 ?/ Z( k) z0 R: E# p$ ^这是一轮由膨胀问题带来的熊市、
; g, z, _8 y [" t# j5 H也是21年放水大牛市的带来的反噬。 ( G) V5 \9 d( P
熊市不可言底、所有一切只能通过cpi可控。 5 N2 c u) `4 [9 q
来决定行情是否好转。 " m1 e* B* Z) l2 i( s5 q
至于短线、大饼单日跌幅达10%。 v1 X( o; Y& h& x% G6 O
在熊市阶段，出现暴力反弹，可能性为0.
- J% y2 I1 V; x T; T0 M# k U短线反弹即空，短期来看是硬道理。 ! z X" m# e/ T! R# @ ^% ~9 R
周二开始会议、cpi压力，绝对更是鹰派言论、 5 }6 F9 ~7 s; K+ k+ v5 B$ i
那周一白盘、反弹就空。但不可追空、 / e9 h9 j m: b: o `* D
看好近期，大饼形成超级支撑，与上月横盘一致。 3 s8 Z% S. }% m& h2 C5 m J9 Z G9 {5 d
日内大饼反弹、
8 P6 s; \& N% m: D3 D+ c5 n, i26150高空 ! ~0 }. t1 X- h: C) c* d
26350补仓
$ x Y: h, \$ w+ u: r4 c& o& x26550防守
5 S, M6 x6 v9 s6 K目标25250-25000 破位24800 轻微下看
- d# _" z# S. O- G Z以太反弹
6 K6 w9 w1 }6 ^$ {8 m- v: u. \2 E) K1380高空
0 d3 W$ f* r' q7 F1400补仓 6 w: u9 c+ s5 J9 @
1420防守 * ]+ M1 E+ d6 l% C1 [. |$ g
目标1320-1300、破位1280 轻微下看。
- W8 N: O5 q# e; z* D附言、 5 {! h5 W a2 j
许多因牛市慕名而来，却惨败于熊市阶段。 / k" a C. K3 m3 @4 x' x
是正常现象，
$ h) q5 t! V8 `5 ] x# c合格的交易者，会进行埋伏布局，现货也杜绝追涨杀跌。 & a7 _; O* V$ G* I8 P6 F
对于市场、依旧未来可期。
2 o4 m& N# b6 W/ P& N3 ?大饼的价值，纵使震荡再过剧烈。
/ x& f/ a: h! V9 _ I' T4 A上轮牛市高点69000.绝对不是终点。 , S( P" }" |5 K9 o
5月的cpi或许数据不够理想、但增幅并未大幅提高。
7 T* B4 a% X- N4 p: T% A; ^6月、已开始50基点，和抽水。 ! a5 {' H- j6 h/ V
相信七月公布时，会较理想。
1 x0 D6 r- U4 D& h! d* ^! d但现阶段，要承受的住。
( g! o8 t) p9 S1 c! R" E- y5 I4 g最后再强调、现货勿割。
- ^- q- q; }7 m7 K5 x25000的大饼 1300的以太、 + K4 `) N) e9 Y8 M, O" j
个人斗胆一言，依旧是激进布局时机。
- e; `6 }0 j. J& I, F& ~稳健可于7月cpi公布，再做考虑。
" O5 D; t# S9 ]( @. N- P这个市场，
# J% f: ~7 _3 F2 H0 F* z消息为首、情绪为辅、技术为次。 + X2 U; Z; P: D
最后就是合理的仓位配置，及良好的心态。
: b6 t. u# X3 d- p切记学会消息分析，不与市场进行对立。
! r9 P( z; N$ W( ]5 l但也要杜绝操作忌讳的盲点，引以为戒。 : l- g& v/ n$ x0 U$ V
来源：金色财经 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
