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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.13 cpi不降反升 加息压力倍增 恰逢以太清算 短期不宜过于乐观
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没有断更、wx被环境限制、6.17恢复。
8 }5 D9 z: j! ^行情补充、 % n+ {5 c! e( x- B) u! p
在6.11号、cpi超出预期、加息压力提升。 3 s0 w8 O! F" Q5 j" j @( l! J/ q2 a
市场本就一蹶不振、恐慌抛压会提高。 : E C8 G9 l6 @
关于疑问、一一回复。
2 I" Y) N* r% Q2 _* M( s今天为何跌这么多，何时能抄底！ + {" M1 q% m% z% G2 m" `
0 R6 {3 E+ L5 t
首先就个人的主观来说、
0 {" E8 C5 Q: E5 _) Q$ [: n _& h对这个市场，余勋有着无比强烈的信仰。
2 }, J" l$ {4 Y9 i6 L& T极度憧憬市场的未来！
3 r1 n6 V3 ?' b- k但信仰在环境zc面前下，不值一提、
/ c: E2 E* Y2 f. p最不济，要明白一个道理。君子不立危墙之下、 , G. y6 z- C) ~2 `7 a$ Y
而当下，或许就是市场最难度的阶段。 * L& Y- ~% ^5 y# H
会不会过去、肯定会。但给一点时间。 6 j, {9 g6 N- b! u) x) A
转点就在CPI稳定，或出现下降。 5 e. W& n7 C& e; i& E& v5 l& r2 B
其次出现降息，和停止抽水。 5 a' s! H2 ^% @ w; i' F/ i
（这是最精准的抄底时机，） 7 f0 d) ^* a; B- {
为什么会跌、 * S: U0 P8 I; E$ U: b& N
1cpi不降反升、加息压力提高。市场面临进一步抽水，或延长周期抽水。 8 M/ [# u, [* ^+ Q$ I: Y8 F
2本月14-15议息，提前预判会更鹰派，提前消化。
8 w" i: Y, E( r/ w4 o, r& t3以太在1100-1250有近10亿借贷清算、 P. `4 u8 f$ x
综上造成的下跌、
% M2 P1 Z3 X$ Y# d. N: m1 ?, P, o这是一轮由膨胀问题带来的熊市、 & J P3 n+ ^' r$ }! @
也是21年放水大牛市的带来的反噬。 2 W/ `5 D* G1 Y( U( q+ K
熊市不可言底、所有一切只能通过cpi可控。
) \9 I( e6 c6 Z! T1 T% R8 x" L5 j' P来决定行情是否好转。 - Q K, {3 U: x! ^2 g# @" ^
至于短线、大饼单日跌幅达10%。 * h5 ]: M% `- U; e; E" H
在熊市阶段，出现暴力反弹，可能性为0. 3 e3 @% i4 T, R% Z
短线反弹即空，短期来看是硬道理。 ! A" P, x! A. q6 o8 H2 j9 D& U% K4 o6 Q
周二开始会议、cpi压力，绝对更是鹰派言论、
- s6 d0 w4 q3 F$ F& i& b2 R9 Z0 r! U* _那周一白盘、反弹就空。但不可追空、 ; E C' }% J( J) w0 f* ^7 @+ A* {
看好近期，大饼形成超级支撑，与上月横盘一致。
# Z0 l$ |! v) Y8 t6 W日内大饼反弹、 4 w' R3 a5 w5 J+ J$ Z
26150高空
4 ~' C3 m* W: ?* I% Z26350补仓 . m0 [" I0 b" |! t8 Y* b0 I
26550防守 a" ^9 b% \; f! D: d/ I% L
目标25250-25000 破位24800 轻微下看 ' A+ n% L: M5 }# w5 F8 {
以太反弹
) q- s' I: b2 i' j1380高空
7 S0 u$ Q( d* p5 l9 c) |/ c1400补仓
) H6 }1 _( I. I0 O8 V" R1420防守
d R2 O. V6 p) U. |4 z* b' j( O- Q目标1320-1300、破位1280 轻微下看。
. {& I; C( l [, T附言、 ( V3 f( o$ G' x( Y5 L7 H
许多因牛市慕名而来，却惨败于熊市阶段。 7 F' K3 t" \8 a7 `3 F: [
是正常现象，
3 _+ G% u l0 w1 N6 [合格的交易者，会进行埋伏布局，现货也杜绝追涨杀跌。 2 [+ o$ j; A* N3 H& r* e, s
对于市场、依旧未来可期。
! c# E3 [1 F' G, J4 J大饼的价值，纵使震荡再过剧烈。 $ Z5 x: M v* K; `/ H) A. n
上轮牛市高点69000.绝对不是终点。
' q6 p. a( H# O5月的cpi或许数据不够理想、但增幅并未大幅提高。
" i" Y3 q- V {4 i$ v8 @4 k6月、已开始50基点，和抽水。
- o6 z% N4 u$ @ o5 R% Y3 \相信七月公布时，会较理想。 # U) N K9 y8 s6 T7 a1 X5 ^ j8 c1 x
但现阶段，要承受的住。 4 X$ J& x9 m$ |( A, [4 {' @" J
最后再强调、现货勿割。 ' A" u& ?; \, o D: d9 m+ z
25000的大饼 1300的以太、
' R5 [ S6 ^6 p4 }. }1 J' ~" C个人斗胆一言，依旧是激进布局时机。
! q. w/ H6 J6 O0 o稳健可于7月cpi公布，再做考虑。 $ B" H& i+ v( k! q
这个市场， & c. A$ D% d! E3 A
消息为首、情绪为辅、技术为次。
0 R$ }4 F: B; l0 O* h最后就是合理的仓位配置，及良好的心态。 5 Q9 X6 d$ F7 j+ {) y2 X
切记学会消息分析，不与市场进行对立。 ; r5 M6 f: s' O+ q" G
但也要杜绝操作忌讳的盲点，引以为戒。 & O% t. D$ b1 r; X9 \
来源：金色财经 |
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