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[虚拟币交流]
联准会暗示再升息！比特币跌破2.85万 全网爆仓1.27亿美元（转载）
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比特币(BTC)在7月中旬上冲至31,800美元高点，创下去年5月以来的新高后，此后就开" i5 k: Y( @# B2 }+ @* Z ^
始不断在29,000美元至30,000美元盘整，价格似乎没有任何催化剂来掀起波澜。
/ x1 o6 K4 Q$ V. v4 I2 c1 g% o然而，就在今(17)日凌晨美国联准会(Fed)释出鹰派消息，让比特币从今早3点约29,100美元一路跌至最低28,400
# |* ?' s5 S& h; _3 k美元，当前暂报28,584美元，近24小时下跌2.1%。
+ O* Z& u" l+ M+ z6 q. ?; V以太坊(ETH)同样呈现下跌走势，今晨跌破1800美元大关，从1,830美元左右跌至最低1,780美元，当前暂报1,796
9 g* l2 s- }$ t, b1 z0 F6 {美元，近24小时下跌2.6%。
8 ^! H: Z f; b8 V1 a# h0 t' K过去12小时爆仓1.27亿美元
! F% k& @/ h( n3 c$ K受今早下跌走势跌破盘整区间影响，Coinglass数据显示，过去12小时全网爆仓1.27亿美元，其中多单爆仓1.16亿
; d) w. Z! t& h {+ F' s( G美元，BTC爆仓4,499.3万美元，ETH爆仓1,947.44万美元。
, r) f5 {' F, Y& Q, o9 ]! S; N另一方面，TheBlock数据显示，加密交易所现货交易量的7天行动平均值降至112亿美元，不到今天3月份最高4 t J3 c' F, E F1 |) F0 N+ R6 y
460亿美元的30%，反映出比特币的波动性处于历史低位，而交易量也处于2020年以来的最低水平。& \. ~& O$ t" V: c: d. _
联准会会议记录：通膨仍有升温风险可能需进一步升息
; }$ D0 u3 p0 @美国联准周三(16日)公布的7月会议记录显示，官员仍担心通膨难消退并暗示可能会继续升息。& @3 K- `4 s7 p# o# @$ B2 t
多数与会者仍认为通膨有显著升温风险，可能需要进一步收紧货币政策。与此同时，有一些与会者则表示，尽管
0 S1 `: w9 K/ T9 V「大多数」决策者继续将对抗通膨作为首要任务，但利率推得太高可能给经济带来风险，显见官员之间意见存有
`% c1 N( U6 M7 g- v& c分歧。* T, V8 E5 l9 o0 Y
7月的会议记录并未排除未来还要升息的可能性，对后续行动敞开大门。相比6月记录，7月最大的变动是利率指引! _3 w- B+ M0 u* _1 m
方面，指出将继续评估新数据及其对货币政策影响。0 s0 B# o5 z, D9 W4 ~, z! [- a5 M) G
9月升息机率为13.5%& m [$ d+ j8 ^; V; }; {' N
据CMEGroup的FedWatch工具数据显示，截稿前市场认为9月会议将再升息1码的概率从11.5.上升至13.5%，而0 q' E1 h/ z3 K7 A' s% C
保持不变的概率则从88.5%略降至86.5%。
$ _9 U+ G' A2 `) U! lFed观察人士将聚焦下周由堪萨斯联准银行每年8月下旬在Jackson Hole举办全球央行年会，届时Fed主席鲍威尔* Y4 z9 o- u) R* Y$ ^8 e7 U
(Jerome Powell)将发表谈话，可望从中找到未来利率政策方向的蛛丝马迹。
; @: U1 j: C0 \! ^$ Y! p2 ^& g7 T+ N) y; e/ w+ P7 T0 b: g2 {
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