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[虚拟币交流]
比特币市场情绪跌至2月以来最低点，恐慌情绪愈演愈烈（转）
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衡量市场情绪的“比特币恐惧与贪婪”指数已经暴跌降至仅10，这是自2月份以来的最低水平。: ^: H7 ^! k: y4 p
0 B& ^( U7 o/ P% E d根据 10x Research 的数据，该价格已跌破 7 日均线和 30 日均线，这表明其短期和中期动能疲软。
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4 N& v9 f7 u: l0 `/ D过去一周，该股下跌了6.7%，跌破10万美元。大户投资者，也就是所谓的“鲸鱼”，一直在抛售，加剧了这一跌势。; T2 Y; |3 y' N( [ {% V) c
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美国现货比特币ETF的资金流出表明机构投资者对比特币的兴趣正在减弱。此外，比特币与纳斯达克100指数持续呈负相关，这意味着在科技股抛售期间，比特币的跌幅往往比在科技股上涨期间的涨幅更大。
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w' y) I3 Q/ d% d; A$ y- w周五，当主要加密货币的价格跌破 95,000 美元时，关于它的讨论价格也随之飙升。达到据分析平台Santiment的数据显示，这是四个月来的最高水平。
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' J: Z8 ?3 X- Y1 p如此巨大的飙升表明散户投资者普遍存在恐惧、不确定性和怀疑（FUD）。
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3 {7 k& C& \ r$ ]% k1 h$ P4 G从历史经验来看，这可能表明抛售压力已达峰值，价格反转的可能性更大。本质上，极度恐慌往往发生在市场低点附近。0 J k$ @, O5 H3 j
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死亡十字
. v4 o+ ~5 ]# u" K$ u8 n3 u与此同时，比特币形成了一种新的“死亡交叉”。虽然这个词听起来很吓人，但它通常被视为一种滞后指标。, w5 H: I1 u2 F
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分析师本杰明·考恩表示，这些事件往往与当地市场低点（即短期底部）同时发生。 {7 @% J$ W7 h- f# R
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然而，他警告说，如果当前周期即将结束，死亡交叉之后的任何反弹都可能失败。1 r) G4 {6 ~$ u/ ?" S
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分析师指出，如果比特币要在本轮周期内反弹，那么下周应该会出现反弹迹象。如果没有反弹，则可能预示着在向200日均线发起更大幅度的反弹之前，价格还会进一步下跌。200日均线将形成一个宏观的更低高点，这是市场周期中的关键点。
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