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[lastpost] => 2791816 比特币本周将面临价值 230 亿美元的巨额期权到期。(转) 1766501013 人生如赌
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比特币本周将面临价值 230 亿美元的巨额期权到期。(转)
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价值约236亿美元的比特币(比特币)期权将于12月26日星期五到期,这将是历史上规模最大的比特币期权到期日。
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更具体地说,未平仓合约数据CoinGlass截至12月23日,呼叫中心活动高度集中。选项介于 10 万美元至 12 万美元之间,表明许多交易员正在为进一步上涨做准备。
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2 e. z4 _0 L4 q3 z3 h) `8 @不利的一面是,看跌期权集中在 85,000 美元附近,表明关键支撑位正受到密切关注。所谓的“最大痛点”,即期权持有者可能遭受最大损失的价格,接近 96,000 美元。8 Y# j+ g' L* v- d1 [
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按行权价划分的比特币未平仓合约量。数据来源:CoinGlass
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为了更直观地了解情况,今年的 236 亿美元可以与去年的 198 亿美元和 2023 年的 110 亿美元进行比较。
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比特币最重要的事件之一
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尽管到期日规模巨大,但目前的仓位布局仍可视为建设性策略。具体而言,看跌期权与看涨期权的比例为0.38,因此交易者似乎更倾向于寻求上涨机会而非下跌保护。
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截至发稿时,比特币交易价格接近 87,800 美元,当日下跌 2.38%。但由于比特币在主要期权到期前往往波动较大,因此一旦合约到期、未平仓合约重置,价格很可能出现新的剧烈波动。
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+ S' X% x" g3 W比特币24小时价格。7 i3 H6 v+ U5 c; ^! y# f
/ R. ]- y0 A4 X3 e6 T A鉴于此次事件的规模,即使临近到期日价格出现小幅波动,也可能引发剧烈波动,因为交易员会平仓并解除对冲。' c) D( G+ V0 g/ A& c+ C1 j
) ^% V# M) h; A ~, f4 z值得注意的是,此次交易的时机恰逢假期周,而假期周通常是市场流动性较弱的时期。换句话说,大额订单可能会比平时更剧烈地影响价格。
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]/ i* @0 I& E& X Q# @5 _% D最终,这些惊人的数字进一步印证了市场已经变得多么受机构驱动,衍生品流动越来越左右价格走势,无论价格朝哪个方向发展。5 l3 g) {0 x* k* r; I
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