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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.13 cpi不降反升 加息压力倍增 恰逢以太清算 短期不宜过于乐观
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没有断更、wx被环境限制、6.17恢复。
& \6 d+ z$ P. a行情补充、 4 p D8 }5 F+ K4 d7 _. X% `5 t. `
在6.11号、cpi超出预期、加息压力提升。 3 I6 j9 @& l% b! f; b
市场本就一蹶不振、恐慌抛压会提高。 ; b0 N* P, }7 _9 B/ Y( j6 b' _/ s
关于疑问、一一回复。
9 k. C& H1 C9 Z/ ?: [- G今天为何跌这么多，何时能抄底！
* j6 \$ c+ _) Z4 Z. m5 j
+ W1 f3 _! I5 P1 a% {& a& S# Z
首先就个人的主观来说、
) H) w% r p% ?1 B0 b对这个市场，余勋有着无比强烈的信仰。 # L2 A. l. v/ j3 t
极度憧憬市场的未来！ * {5 M. n# C+ [; k+ X. _" j9 ^
但信仰在环境zc面前下，不值一提、
0 n- D4 D+ L/ M4 ^: H. p3 r最不济，要明白一个道理。君子不立危墙之下、 8 Y/ T- J& y% k
而当下，或许就是市场最难度的阶段。 $ L" T% v2 P; r2 N
会不会过去、肯定会。但给一点时间。 $ M$ l- Y: {8 T" i: Q
转点就在CPI稳定，或出现下降。 & p7 D0 {- e5 [* v9 r
其次出现降息，和停止抽水。
. @6 ~7 h( B9 j/ U! c9 T, X（这是最精准的抄底时机，）
( \* v$ l; J1 v* [( `1 e为什么会跌、
. ?" @7 p$ h9 a( w" a5 `( g1cpi不降反升、加息压力提高。市场面临进一步抽水，或延长周期抽水。 1 {$ J1 d8 v% v7 Z
2本月14-15议息，提前预判会更鹰派，提前消化。 * w' h* m) W: E% }
3以太在1100-1250有近10亿借贷清算、
1 U; ^2 Z* g% s综上造成的下跌、 : `9 ?9 ^) {" b: H4 x) M
这是一轮由膨胀问题带来的熊市、
+ n& m, V: Q3 y( p: T5 W也是21年放水大牛市的带来的反噬。
5 [: a! o$ e: |0 {熊市不可言底、所有一切只能通过cpi可控。 4 A, \* z( R) [* W1 R$ b
来决定行情是否好转。 ( k' }7 }/ J" s b) U$ P
至于短线、大饼单日跌幅达10%。 ! y2 u* ]. n5 I" C* R7 ~ r
在熊市阶段，出现暴力反弹，可能性为0. 2 {: J1 N- B. Z# ~; g( T/ T* q
短线反弹即空，短期来看是硬道理。
+ V+ B/ [! W, s: l! V周二开始会议、cpi压力，绝对更是鹰派言论、
8 p- m @# e6 d$ K7 A9 }那周一白盘、反弹就空。但不可追空、 $ S' N3 s# U* _+ P! E
看好近期，大饼形成超级支撑，与上月横盘一致。 & k1 u# B3 a ~
日内大饼反弹、 + i- {- V4 H |: G7 S5 n$ E
26150高空 ! N0 S: j+ O' {8 ]' I4 s A R$ u
26350补仓
8 h. R/ ]; @5 x6 [0 Z( p. c26550防守
# Z* I7 }( W5 ]目标25250-25000 破位24800 轻微下看 z( R- k8 a8 N' ?8 d
以太反弹
: p7 k# w+ j1 }( A1380高空
' V: }7 t3 g" _. @9 O; S( _9 \2 p1 E# E1400补仓 $ g# _9 O$ G; g* M/ V: `, Y3 m
1420防守
# p6 x+ G6 X+ @+ B8 x% i9 v; _目标1320-1300、破位1280 轻微下看。
4 I1 v& H7 _ n$ }7 V附言、
7 }. G3 v0 M8 s0 k( k许多因牛市慕名而来，却惨败于熊市阶段。
$ u6 u- I* j Y& B2 Q; Q( A7 h是正常现象， 5 h5 @ }/ U P' c
合格的交易者，会进行埋伏布局，现货也杜绝追涨杀跌。 : K9 b! m0 o( y7 u
对于市场、依旧未来可期。
2 ^$ j( \! C' S6 `9 o; t大饼的价值，纵使震荡再过剧烈。 . d- A3 R3 `9 \" a% b
上轮牛市高点69000.绝对不是终点。 $ T) G7 I0 C8 S- O- C" g
5月的cpi或许数据不够理想、但增幅并未大幅提高。
: j a7 g! ^9 X6月、已开始50基点，和抽水。
; B' @/ K9 w/ x( u0 C; c相信七月公布时，会较理想。
7 S2 L* l# x# [6 N% _* V$ x但现阶段，要承受的住。 ( L* g1 n) v8 I$ |
最后再强调、现货勿割。
* S& }7 q0 f- Y. c& ^8 f- {8 e25000的大饼 1300的以太、 - m9 L( {# E5 N1 |
个人斗胆一言，依旧是激进布局时机。
! D' f* _$ s; n4 X稳健可于7月cpi公布，再做考虑。 / J' a5 ?4 M, i" Z4 @/ ` e& P
这个市场， ) u- g& G& |1 h/ z" }
消息为首、情绪为辅、技术为次。 7 E6 F5 H" G2 C6 W- P# e
最后就是合理的仓位配置，及良好的心态。 + x% c3 Z) u+ \9 ~+ L
切记学会消息分析，不与市场进行对立。 % a9 m3 J8 Z, A" v- a
但也要杜绝操作忌讳的盲点，引以为戒。 7 V6 C# {5 ~$ y2 _' P
来源：金色财经 |
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