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9.林迪效应
7 C/ X0 w. K% z# }1 K持续时间越长，持续的可能性就越大。很难说哪些币会在 20 年后还在，但 BTC 和以太坊很有可能会。因此，它们是最安全的投资选择。
) w- ^7 d+ i1 l$ S- O' F$ Q) [5 p; c% O$ H* `/ |& i7 m
DeFi 黑客和漏洞很多，因此，如果您要抵押资产，那么选择具有林迪效应的协议，如Aave等是有意义的。如果它们是可破解的，那早就发生了。8 W3 u" l9 K6 g. h* B& a$ I+ i. b
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10.自我保护原则。
6 _* M8 K3 [% k7 m- k! m. s8 d6 m
4 O- u4 ]& K7 K痛苦和恐惧是所有生物体不可分割的一部分，而自我保护是确保它们生存的行为。我不相信 3,3 或“HODL”的概念（3，3是一种庞氏经济学原则，意味着如果大家都卖，大家都有美好的未来；而HODL则是互相鼓励拿住，大家就都有美好的未来）。
: P& c; S" E: I' ]& E+ |7 I% G* B( G" q m1 w( e3 D( r2 b
当事情变得艰难时，人们总是会把自己放在第一位。
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9 G- a* h7 p! h10.抓住重点原则% h% d8 M: I9 r$ i( p3 ]/ Q
重要资源总是稀缺。比如：
9 z( j2 B1 _- V. |, ~0 E6 v" C3 z. E9 v% U: s! L+ ^+ ^
• 视频网站为内容而战。9 @# O5 \& d% j8 |+ Q4 X" O/ H
, @ K8 |5 j/ u8 M• 世界为石油和稀缺资源而战。
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+ {) | e/ `; B$ A% j: y( wCRV战争中，稳定币的流动性是宝贵资源，我们看到协议在争夺 CRV / CVX 代币。那么，未来协议将争取的最宝贵资源是什么？3 `) M; g+ _: X W; B5 [/ P
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11.二阶效果原则。# i* Y7 Z H" K' I- {0 t% N! E& g
每个动作都有一个后果，而后果之后其他还有后果。8 U( {4 L, |7 J: o& x: v
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多想一步！如，代币希望减少释放来减缓通胀。* P6 n2 t, i( [* F' g: b$ n
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但二阶效果是：apy降低，人们可能离开——除非代币有足够的作用或其他激励措施。
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: w! R9 A) Y+ ^, c/ F3 m, f0 F3 |警惕：我们不擅长长期思考。
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12.冲浪原则
4 I/ F3 ^+ E$ S B5 g# {您需要及早发现趋势，尽可能努力地驾驭它们，并在它停止之前离开。 m, T! P4 z3 Y8 _! h' I8 w8 p' K
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及早识别和利用趋势：
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• 亚马逊抓住互联网浪潮。$ Z% D% f5 F, T/ B+ u+ {6 L* w
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• Netflix 转向流媒体。
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6 H: z, N) t8 L" m- M! w& @% D在加密货币中：
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• 及早发现趋势（发现浪潮） ^+ |) K1 m5 j
7 e2 D z" z5 M% R4 d• 投资（顺势而为）
9 ?4 ?# R% f, ]1 Y+ b8 y* J6 p+ q7 g. T5 W$ D3 ]
• 一路获利。（在它崩溃之前离开浪潮）
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& k' O' G/ T. n$ p) N7 o; `13.先行者和后行者优势
5 v6 H( W! Y- C- b6 u+ Q协议先行进入市场可能会带来优势。# R$ o# @& P' H/ B8 d# }
5 m! V0 F+ p9 t8 q+ l6 e要么通过品牌认知、转换成本，要么提前购买资源。- n- ^* L" k8 g7 B# {
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而后行者，能改进技术，因此我们过一段时间就能看到一个L1。
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9 F4 \) @- O: P3 Z
长期投资追求的就是稳妥~ |
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